Edge vs book implied%:
≥ +5%
+2–5%
flat
-2–5%
≤ -5%
| Driver | Team | Fin | DNF% | Win% | DK | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Byron | Hendrick Motorsports | 16.83 | 20.2% | 5.7% | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | Hendrick Motorsports | 17.35 | 18.8% | 5.3% | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | Team Penske | 17.35 | 20.3% | 5.2% | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | 23XI Racing | 19.07 | 21.3% | 4.9% | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | HYAK Motorsports | 18.01 | 18.6% | 4.8% | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | Hendrick Motorsports | 18.3 | 14.7% | 4.5% | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | RFK Racing | 18.81 | 17.0% | 4.4% | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | Joe Gibbs Racing | 17.08 | 12.3% | 4.3% | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | Team Penske | 17.98 | 20.6% | 4.3% | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | Spire Motorsports | 15.78 | 17.5% | 4.1% | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | Hendrick Motorsports | 19.42 | 20.2% | 4.1% | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | Front Row Motorsports | 19.78 | 20.1% | 4.0% | — | — |
| Zane Smith | Front Row Motorsports | 20.37 | 18.7% | 3.2% | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | Spire Motorsports | 16.84 | 11.4% | 3.1% | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | Joe Gibbs Racing | 19.65 | 18.3% | 2.9% | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | 23XI Racing | 15.58 | 12.2% | 2.8% | — | — |
| Erik Jones | Legacy Motor Club | 19.94 | 17.8% | 2.8% | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | RFK Racing | 20.41 | 15.4% | 2.7% | — | — |
| Cole Custer | Haas Factory Team | 19.86 | 19.4% | 2.5% | — | — |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | Trackhouse Racing | 20.69 | 14.3% | 2.4% | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | Richard Childress Racing | 21.51 | 22.7% | 2.4% | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | RFK Racing | 14.95 | 17.2% | 2.2% | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | Kaulig Racing | 20.82 | 13.0% | 2.0% | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | 23XI Racing | 22.27 | 21.1% | 2.0% | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | Front Row Motorsports | 17.31 | 13.5% | 1.7% | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | Spire Motorsports | 21.73 | 17.8% | 1.7% | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | Joe Gibbs Racing | 18.22 | 15.9% | 1.5% | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | Legacy Motor Club | 22.29 | 10.9% | 1.4% | — | — |
| Cody Ware | Rick Ware Racing | 24.22 | 23.0% | 1.3% | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | Joe Gibbs Racing | 16.41 | 17.9% | 1.2% | — | — |
| Josh Berry | Wood Brothers Racing | 25.24 | 38.4% | 1.0% | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | Trackhouse Racing | 20.06 | 24.4% | 0.9% | — | — |
| Joey Logano | Team Penske | 22.53 | 20.5% | 0.9% | — | — |
| AJ Allmendinger | Kaulig Racing | 22.89 | 19.4% | 0.8% | — | — |
| Connor Zilisch | Trackhouse Racing | 24.9 | 19.8% | 0.6% | — | — |
| Austin Hill | Richard Childress Racing | 24.73 | 16.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| Corey Heim | 23XI Racing | 24.38 | 11.9% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Chad Finchum | Garage 66 | 27.61 | 17.2% | 0.0% | — | — |
| JJ Yeley | NY Racing Team | 28.8 | 34.1% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Justin Allgaier | JR Motorsports | 30.06 | 39.5% | 0.0% | — | — |
50,000 simulations · data as of 2026-10-19 04:50 UTC