Bristol Motor Speedway

Cup Series · Short Track

Edge vs book implied%: ≥ +5% +2–5% flat -2–5% ≤ -5%

Driver	Team	Fin	DNF%	Win%	DK	Edge	Top5%	DK	Edge	Top10%	DK	Edge
Kyle Larson	Hendrick Motorsports	16.09	8.4%	23.5%	— —	—	37.8%	— —	—	45.7%	— —	—
Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	16.34	7.8%	21.8%	— —	—	36.1%	— —	—	44.2%	— —	—
Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	15.08	8.4%	7.5%	— —	—	26.8%	— —	—	42.4%	— —	—
Chris Buescher	RFK Racing	14.57	6.2%	6.1%	— —	—	31.6%	— —	—	47.6%	— —	—
Ty Gibbs	Joe Gibbs Racing	16.23	13.4%	5.1%	— —	—	23.1%	— —	—	39.2%	— —	—
Brad Keselowski	RFK Racing	15.53	6.6%	3.8%	— —	—	25.5%	— —	—	43.1%	— —	—
Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	17.08	14.3%	3.8%	— —	—	25.2%	— —	—	40.8%	— —	—
Carson Hocevar	Spire Motorsports	20.07	18.0%	3.8%	— —	—	21.6%	— —	—	33.1%	— —	—
Chase Briscoe	Joe Gibbs Racing	16.56	8.6%	3.4%	— —	—	18.0%	— —	—	34.1%	— —	—
Michael McDowell	Spire Motorsports	19.87	17.7%	3.3%	— —	—	20.8%	— —	—	33.2%	— —	—
Christopher Bell	Joe Gibbs Racing	11.83	7.3%	3.0%	— —	—	25.9%	— —	—	54.6%	— —	—
Bubba Wallace	23XI Racing	18.98	10.7%	2.3%	— —	—	18.4%	— —	—	32.9%	— —	—
William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	17.64	13.8%	2.2%	— —	—	20.1%	— —	—	37.1%	— —	—
Ross Chastain	Trackhouse Racing	18.36	10.9%	1.4%	— —	—	15.8%	— —	—	32.8%	— —	—
Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	19.54	14.2%	1.4%	— —	—	15.7%	— —	—	31.2%	— —	—
Josh Berry	Wood Brothers Racing	21.25	20.7%	1.4%	— —	—	14.5%	— —	—	27.8%	— —	—
Tyler Reddick	23XI Racing	18.54	9.5%	1.0%	— —	—	13.9%	— —	—	31.1%	— —	—
AJ Allmendinger	Kaulig Racing	21.51	18.5%	0.9%	— —	—	12.3%	— —	—	25.8%	— —	—
Joey Logano	Team Penske	20.17	14.0%	0.7%	— —	—	11.1%	— —	—	26.7%	— —	—
Ryan Preece	RFK Racing	18.3	7.0%	0.6%	— —	—	9.8%	— —	—	27.2%	— —	—
Zane Smith	Front Row Motorsports	22.44	21.6%	0.6%	— —	—	9.6%	— —	—	22.8%	— —	—
Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	20.52	10.7%	0.5%	— —	—	9.4%	— —	—	24.3%	— —	—
Austin Cindric	Team Penske	20.46	9.6%	0.3%	— —	—	6.7%	— —	—	21.5%	— —	—
Shane Van Gisbergen	Trackhouse Racing	21.75	19.3%	0.3%	— —	—	6.8%	— —	—	20.7%	— —	—
Todd Gilliland	Front Row Motorsports	21.59	12.1%	0.2%	— —	—	6.4%	— —	—	20.2%	— —	—
Daniel Suarez	Spire Motorsports	23.97	24.5%	0.2%	— —	—	6.2%	— —	—	18.0%	— —	—
Ty Dillon	Kaulig Racing	25.28	22.1%	0.2%	— —	—	2.4%	— —	—	8.2%	— —	—
John Hunter Nemechek	Legacy Motor Club	19.59	10.4%	0.1%	— —	—	8.7%	— —	—	30.1%	— —	—
Kyle Busch	Richard Childress Racing	22.41	16.3%	0.1%	— —	—	3.9%	— —	—	15.3%	— —	—
Riley Herbst	23XI Racing	23.01	16.7%	0.1%	— —	—	2.8%	— —	—	13.1%	— —	—
Cole Custer	Haas Factory Team	21.98	10.6%	0.1%	— —	—	4.4%	— —	—	16.9%	— —	—
Noah Gragson	Front Row Motorsports	23.73	20.4%	0.1%	— —	—	3.2%	— —	—	13.9%	— —	—
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	HYAK Motorsports	24.17	24.5%	0.1%	— —	—	3.9%	— —	—	14.5%	— —	—
Erik Jones	Legacy Motor Club	20.96	9.3%	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—	13.2%	— —	—
Corey Heim	23XI Racing	22.36	9.5%	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—	9.3%	— —	—
Austin Hill	Richard Childress Racing	23.91	10.4%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	1.8%	— —	—
Connor Zilisch	Trackhouse Racing	24.07	10.7%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	1.1%	— —	—
Justin Allgaier	JR Motorsports	25.0	15.0%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—
Cody Ware	Rick Ware Racing	28.41	39.2%	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—	4.1%	— —	—
BJ McLeod	Live Fast Motorsports	30.84	46.2%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—

50,000 simulations · data as of 2026-04-12 06:00 UTC