North Wilkesboro Speedway

Cup Series · Short Track

Edge vs book implied%: ≥ +5% +2–5% flat -2–5% ≤ -5%

Driver	Team	Fin	DNF%	Win%	DK	Edge	Top5%	DK	Edge	Top10%	DK	Edge
Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	9.7	8.4%	17.2%	+500 16.7%	+0.5%	47.7%	-125 55.6%	-7.9%	69.1%	-349 77.8%	-8.7%
Kyle Larson	Hendrick Motorsports	11.41	8.1%	12.3%	+500 16.7%	-4.4%	40.3%	-140 58.3%	-18.0%	61.1%	-400 80.0%	-18.9%
Joey Logano	Team Penske	12.56	9.5%	8.4%	+1000 9.1%	-0.7%	33.4%	+135 42.6%	-9.2%	55.9%	-200 66.7%	-10.8%
Christopher Bell	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.01	7.2%	7.6%	+450 18.2%	-10.6%	26.0%	-120 54.6%	-28.6%	47.6%	-330 76.7%	-29.1%
Carson Hocevar	Spire Motorsports	13.29	6.1%	5.7%	+2200 4.3%	+1.4%	22.2%	+285 26.0%	-3.8%	42.8%	-105 51.2%	-8.4%
Bubba Wallace	23XI Racing	13.57	9.0%	5.5%	+3500 2.8%	+2.7%	24.5%	+425 19.0%	+5.5%	45.0%	+154 39.2%	+5.8%
Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	12.79	9.7%	5.3%	+1400 6.7%	-1.4%	28.3%	+185 35.1%	-6.8%	52.0%	-149 60.0%	-8.0%
Ty Gibbs	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.8	7.7%	5.2%	+1600 5.9%	-0.7%	22.9%	+220 31.2%	-8.3%	40.2%	-120 54.6%	-14.4%
Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.92	7.8%	5.0%	+425 19.0%	-14.0%	25.4%	-175 63.7%	-38.2%	45.0%	-500 83.3%	-38.3%
William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	18.51	14.6%	3.9%	+1100 8.3%	-4.4%	17.4%	+145 40.8%	-23.4%	34.0%	-190 65.5%	-31.5%
Tyler Reddick	23XI Racing	13.81	7.3%	3.6%	+1600 5.9%	-2.3%	21.5%	+210 32.3%	-10.8%	42.3%	-125 55.6%	-13.3%
Chase Briscoe	Joe Gibbs Racing	13.47	10.6%	2.8%	+1800 5.3%	-2.5%	23.0%	+235 29.9%	-6.9%	47.6%	-114 53.5%	-5.9%
Josh Berry	Wood Brothers Racing	16.83	12.9%	2.8%	+6500 1.5%	+1.3%	17.3%	+800 11.1%	+6.2%	36.0%	+280 26.3%	+9.7%
Ryan Preece	RFK Racing	13.83	6.5%	2.7%	+3500 2.8%	-0.1%	18.1%	+425 19.0%	-0.9%	41.5%	+154 39.2%	+2.3%
Ross Chastain	Trackhouse Racing	14.04	11.7%	2.2%	+3500 2.8%	-0.6%	19.8%	+425 19.0%	+0.8%	44.6%	+154 39.2%	+5.4%
Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	21.51	8.6%	1.5%	+7000 1.4%	+0.1%	6.7%	+850 10.5%	-3.8%	18.0%	+300 25.0%	-7.0%
Chris Buescher	RFK Racing	17.89	6.7%	1.4%	+2800 3.4%	-2.0%	12.3%	+359 21.7%	-9.4%	27.4%	+125 44.4%	-17.0%
Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	19.24	12.4%	1.1%	+7000 1.4%	-0.3%	11.1%	+850 10.5%	+0.6%	27.6%	+300 25.0%	+2.6%
Shane Van Gisbergen	Trackhouse Racing	21.94	19.2%	0.8%	+8000 1.2%	-0.4%	7.3%	+1000 9.1%	-1.8%	17.6%	+340 22.7%	-5.1%
Michael McDowell	Spire Motorsports	19.37	6.3%	0.7%	+10000 1.0%	-0.3%	7.9%	+1200 7.7%	+0.2%	22.8%	+400 20.0%	+2.8%
Brad Keselowski	RFK Racing	21.27	14.0%	0.6%	+5000 2.0%	-1.4%	9.9%	+600 14.3%	-4.4%	21.9%	+215 31.7%	-9.8%
Erik Jones	Legacy Motor Club	20.82	6.2%	0.5%	+10000 1.0%	-0.5%	6.1%	+1200 7.7%	-1.6%	16.5%	+400 20.0%	-3.5%
Austin Cindric	Team Penske	21.87	15.7%	0.5%	+5500 1.8%	-1.4%	7.1%	+650 13.3%	-6.2%	18.0%	+235 29.9%	-11.9%
AJ Allmendinger	Kaulig Racing	21.62	10.3%	0.4%	+20000 0.5%	-0.1%	5.6%	+2500 3.8%	+1.8%	15.6%	+800 11.1%	+4.5%
Daniel Suarez	Spire Motorsports	21.89	12.9%	0.4%	+6500 1.5%	-1.1%	6.0%	+800 11.1%	-5.1%	16.7%	+280 26.3%	-9.6%
Todd Gilliland	Front Row Motorsports	22.77	14.2%	0.3%	+20000 0.5%	-0.2%	4.7%	+2500 3.8%	+0.9%	15.4%	+800 11.1%	+4.3%
John Hunter Nemechek	Legacy Motor Club	22.46	7.8%	0.3%	+20000 0.5%	-0.2%	4.8%	+2500 3.8%	+1.0%	13.0%	+800 11.1%	+1.9%
Noah Gragson	Front Row Motorsports	22.75	8.6%	0.3%	+18000 0.6%	-0.3%	4.2%	+2200 4.3%	-0.1%	11.6%	+750 11.8%	-0.2%
Zane Smith	Front Row Motorsports	23.73	13.8%	0.3%	+18000 0.6%	-0.3%	4.8%	+2200 4.3%	+0.5%	12.6%	+750 11.8%	+0.8%
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	HYAK Motorsports	25.14	15.8%	0.1%	+30000 0.3%	-0.1%	3.2%	+3500 2.8%	+0.4%	9.1%	+1200 7.7%	+1.4%
Cole Custer	Haas Factory Team	25.77	12.5%	0.1%	+30000 0.3%	-0.2%	1.3%	+3500 2.8%	-1.5%	5.7%	+1200 7.7%	-2.0%
Riley Herbst	23XI Racing	25.68	14.8%	0.1%	+30000 0.3%	-0.2%	2.7%	+3500 2.8%	-0.1%	8.2%	+1200 7.7%	+0.5%
Ty Dillon	Kaulig Racing	25.35	12.4%	0.1%	+30000 0.3%	-0.2%	2.8%	+3500 2.8%	+0.0%	7.8%	+1200 7.7%	+0.1%
Justin Haley	Spire Motorsports	27.46	12.7%	0.1%	— —	—	1.5%	— —	—	4.8%	— —	—
Corey Heim	23XI Racing	29.58	6.6%	0.0%	— —	—	0.2%	— —	—	0.3%	— —	—
Austin Hill	Richard Childress Racing	29.6	7.7%	0.0%	+20000 0.5%	-0.5%	0.2%	+2500 3.8%	-3.6%	0.4%	+800 11.1%	-10.7%
Cody Ware	Rick Ware Racing	28.87	11.0%	0.0%	+40000 0.2%	-0.2%	0.7%	+5000 2.0%	-1.3%	2.0%	+1600 5.9%	-3.9%
Corey LaJoie	RFK Racing	30.03	14.5%	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—	1.1%	— —	—
Connor Zilisch	Trackhouse Racing	32.17	32.8%	0.0%	+18000 0.6%	-0.6%	0.3%	+2200 4.3%	-4.0%	0.5%	+750 11.8%	-11.3%
Chad Finchum	Garage 66	33.68	45.9%	0.0%	+40000 0.2%	-0.2%	0.3%	+5000 2.0%	-1.7%	0.5%	+1600 5.9%	-5.4%

50,000 simulations · data as of 2026-07-18 02:00 UTC