North Wilkesboro Speedway

Cup Series · Short Track

Edge vs book implied%: ≥ +5% +2–5% flat -2–5% ≤ -5%

Driver	Team	Fin	DNF%	Win%	DK	Edge	Top5%	DK	Edge	Top10%	DK	Edge
Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	9.56	8.0%	17.5%	↓ +450 18.2%	-0.7%	48.3%	-125 55.6%	-7.3%	69.3%	-349 77.8%	-8.5%
Kyle Larson	Hendrick Motorsports	11.6	8.3%	12.0%	↑ +850 10.5%	+1.5%	39.6%	-140 58.3%	-18.7%	60.4%	-400 80.0%	-19.6%
Joey Logano	Team Penske	12.56	9.3%	8.3%	↓ +900 10.0%	-1.7%	33.3%	+135 42.6%	-9.3%	55.7%	-200 66.7%	-11.0%
Christopher Bell	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.0	7.4%	7.5%	↓ +280 26.3%	-18.8%	26.0%	-120 54.6%	-28.6%	47.8%	-330 76.7%	-28.9%
Bubba Wallace	23XI Racing	13.67	9.4%	5.6%	↑ +5000 2.0%	+3.6%	24.5%	+425 19.0%	+5.5%	44.7%	+154 39.2%	+5.5%
Carson Hocevar	Spire Motorsports	13.23	6.3%	5.5%	↑ +2500 3.8%	+1.8%	22.3%	+285 26.0%	-3.7%	43.0%	-105 51.2%	-8.2%
Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	12.82	9.9%	5.4%	↑ +1800 5.3%	+0.1%	28.4%	+185 35.1%	-6.7%	51.9%	-149 60.0%	-8.1%
Ty Gibbs	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.82	7.7%	5.3%	↓ +1300 7.1%	-1.8%	22.8%	+220 31.2%	-8.4%	40.1%	-120 54.6%	-14.5%
Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	15.06	7.9%	4.9%	↑ +500 16.7%	-11.8%	25.1%	-175 63.7%	-38.6%	44.6%	-500 83.3%	-38.7%
William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	18.38	14.4%	3.9%	↑ +1400 6.7%	-2.8%	17.4%	+145 40.8%	-23.3%	34.4%	-190 65.5%	-31.1%
Tyler Reddick	23XI Racing	13.81	7.4%	3.7%	↓ +1300 7.1%	-3.4%	21.4%	+210 32.3%	-10.9%	42.3%	-125 55.6%	-13.3%
Chase Briscoe	Joe Gibbs Racing	13.45	10.6%	2.8%	↑ +2800 3.4%	-0.6%	23.1%	+235 29.9%	-6.8%	47.8%	-114 53.5%	-5.7%
Ryan Preece	RFK Racing	13.91	6.7%	2.7%	↑ +6000 1.6%	+1.1%	18.3%	+425 19.0%	-0.7%	41.4%	+154 39.2%	+2.2%
Josh Berry	Wood Brothers Racing	16.83	12.7%	2.6%	↑ +8000 1.2%	+1.4%	17.1%	+800 11.1%	+6.0%	36.1%	+280 26.3%	+9.8%
Ross Chastain	Trackhouse Racing	14.11	12.0%	2.4%	↑ +8000 1.2%	+1.2%	20.0%	+425 19.0%	+1.0%	44.3%	+154 39.2%	+5.1%
Chris Buescher	RFK Racing	17.77	6.5%	1.5%	↑ +5000 2.0%	-0.5%	12.3%	+359 21.7%	-9.4%	27.4%	+125 44.4%	-16.9%
Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	21.57	8.7%	1.4%	+7000 1.4%	-0.0%	6.4%	+850 10.5%	-4.1%	17.9%	+300 25.0%	-7.1%
Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	19.25	12.3%	1.1%	↓ +4000 2.4%	-1.3%	10.9%	+850 10.5%	+0.4%	27.6%	+300 25.0%	+2.6%
Michael McDowell	Spire Motorsports	19.31	6.2%	0.7%	↑ +20000 0.5%	+0.2%	8.0%	+1200 7.7%	+0.3%	23.0%	+400 20.0%	+3.0%
Shane Van Gisbergen	Trackhouse Racing	21.98	19.9%	0.7%	↓ +6000 1.6%	-0.9%	7.3%	+1000 9.1%	-1.8%	17.9%	+340 22.7%	-4.8%
Brad Keselowski	RFK Racing	21.24	14.2%	0.6%	↑ +8000 1.2%	-0.6%	9.9%	+600 14.3%	-4.4%	21.9%	+215 31.7%	-9.8%
AJ Allmendinger	Kaulig Racing	21.55	10.6%	0.5%	↑ +50000 0.2%	+0.2%	5.8%	+2500 3.8%	+2.0%	16.0%	+800 11.1%	+4.9%
Erik Jones	Legacy Motor Club	20.82	6.3%	0.5%	↓ +5000 2.0%	-1.5%	6.1%	+1200 7.7%	-1.6%	16.5%	+400 20.0%	-3.5%
Austin Cindric	Team Penske	21.87	15.8%	0.5%	↓ +3500 2.8%	-2.3%	7.2%	+650 13.3%	-6.2%	17.8%	+235 29.9%	-12.1%
Daniel Suarez	Spire Motorsports	21.93	13.0%	0.4%	↑ +10000 1.0%	-0.6%	5.9%	+800 11.1%	-5.2%	16.4%	+280 26.3%	-9.9%
Todd Gilliland	Front Row Motorsports	22.78	14.4%	0.4%	+20000 0.5%	-0.1%	4.9%	+2500 3.8%	+1.1%	15.6%	+800 11.1%	+4.5%
John Hunter Nemechek	Legacy Motor Club	22.51	7.9%	0.3%	+20000 0.5%	-0.2%	4.8%	+2500 3.8%	+1.0%	12.9%	+800 11.1%	+1.8%
Noah Gragson	Front Row Motorsports	22.65	8.6%	0.3%	↑ +60000 0.2%	+0.1%	4.3%	+2200 4.3%	-0.0%	11.8%	+750 11.8%	+0.0%
Zane Smith	Front Row Motorsports	23.71	13.9%	0.3%	↑ +25000 0.4%	-0.1%	4.8%	+2200 4.3%	+0.5%	12.7%	+750 11.8%	+0.9%
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	HYAK Motorsports	25.2	15.8%	0.1%	↑ +50000 0.2%	-0.1%	3.1%	+3500 2.8%	+0.3%	9.1%	+1200 7.7%	+1.4%
Cole Custer	Haas Factory Team	25.76	12.5%	0.1%	↑ +50000 0.2%	-0.1%	1.3%	+3500 2.8%	-1.5%	5.6%	+1200 7.7%	-2.1%
Riley Herbst	23XI Racing	25.64	14.8%	0.1%	↓ +8000 1.2%	-1.1%	2.8%	+3500 2.8%	+0.0%	8.3%	+1200 7.7%	+0.6%
Ty Dillon	Kaulig Racing	25.43	12.6%	0.1%	↑ +100000 0.1%	+0.0%	2.9%	+3500 2.8%	+0.1%	7.9%	+1200 7.7%	+0.2%
Justin Haley	Spire Motorsports	27.49	12.7%	0.1%	— —	—	1.6%	— —	—	4.7%	— —	—
Corey Heim	23XI Racing	29.54	6.7%	0.0%	— —	—	0.2%	— —	—	0.3%	— —	—
Austin Hill	Richard Childress Racing	29.59	7.8%	0.0%	↑ +50000 0.2%	-0.2%	0.2%	+2500 3.8%	-3.6%	0.4%	+800 11.1%	-10.7%
Cody Ware	Rick Ware Racing	28.74	10.8%	0.0%	↑ +150000 0.1%	-0.1%	0.6%	+5000 2.0%	-1.4%	2.1%	+1600 5.9%	-3.8%
Corey LaJoie	RFK Racing	30.0	14.8%	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—	1.1%	— —	—
Connor Zilisch	Trackhouse Racing	32.23	33.5%	0.0%	↑ +25000 0.4%	-0.4%	0.3%	+2200 4.3%	-4.0%	0.5%	+750 11.8%	-11.3%
Chad Finchum	Garage 66	33.64	45.4%	0.0%	↑ +200000 —	+0.0%	0.3%	+5000 2.0%	-1.7%	0.5%	+1600 5.9%	-5.4%

50,000 simulations · data as of 2026-07-19 02:00 UTC