Edge vs book implied%:
≥ +5%
+2–5%
flat
-2–5%
≤ -5%
| Driver | Team | Fin | DNF% | Win% | DK | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Allgaier | JR Motorsports | 17.01 | 20.2% | 6.4% | — | — |
| Jesse Love | Richard Childress Racing | 11.93 | 10.1% | 6.2% | — | — |
| Carson Kvapil | JR Motorsports | 17.22 | 20.0% | 6.0% | — | — |
| Sheldon Creed | Haas Factory Team | 14.37 | 21.1% | 5.1% | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | Viking Motorsports | 18.03 | 19.1% | 5.0% | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | 17.65 | 16.6% | 4.9% | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | Sam Hunt Racing | 19.15 | 22.4% | 4.1% | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | JR Motorsports | 18.86 | 20.0% | 3.9% | — | — |
| Parker Retzlaff | Viking Motorsports | 14.88 | 18.8% | 3.8% | — | — |
| Dean Thompson | Sam Hunt Racing | 19.31 | 24.8% | 3.8% | — | — |
| Ryan Sieg | RSS Racing | 21.14 | 35.9% | 3.7% | — | — |
| Sammy Smith | JR Motorsports | 15.51 | 20.1% | 3.6% | — | — |
| Brent Crews | Joe Gibbs Racing | 17.99 | 38.5% | 3.6% | — | — |
| Austin Hill | Richard Childress Racing | 15.03 | 10.8% | 3.4% | — | — |
| Corey Day | Hendrick Motorsports | 18.54 | 25.0% | 3.1% | — | — |
| Jeb Burton | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | 16.41 | 16.0% | 2.8% | — | — |
| Jeremy Clements | Jeremy Clements Racing | 21.57 | 35.9% | 2.6% | — | — |
| Connor Zilisch | JR Motorsports | 20.13 | 19.1% | 2.5% | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | Alpha Prime Racing | 16.78 | 15.0% | 2.4% | — | — |
| Nicholas Sanchez | AM Racing | 19.28 | 21.2% | 2.4% | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | SS GreenLight Racing | 19.02 | 15.5% | 2.3% | — | — |
| Patrick Staropoli | Big Machine Racing | 21.53 | 25.7% | 2.2% | — | — |
| Taylor Gray | Joe Gibbs Racing | 21.78 | 31.5% | 2.1% | — | — |
| Brandon Jones | Joe Gibbs Racing | 20.79 | 33.4% | 1.8% | — | — |
| Ryan Ellis | Young's Motorsports | 22.05 | 24.8% | 1.8% | — | — |
| Josh Williams | DGM Racing x JIM | 22.36 | 26.5% | 1.8% | — | — |
| Lavar Scott | Alpha Prime Racing | 22.16 | 20.7% | 1.6% | — | — |
| Sam Mayer | Haas Factory Team | 22.16 | 24.9% | 1.6% | — | — |
| Blaine Perkins | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | 18.29 | 20.6% | 1.3% | — | — |
| JJ Yeley | Young's Motorsports | 23.77 | 25.6% | 1.1% | — | — |
| Kyle Sieg | RSS Racing | 18.85 | 18.3% | 0.9% | — | — |
| Rajah Caruth | JR Motorsports | 19.93 | 11.3% | 0.9% | — | — |
| Joey Gase | Joey Gase Motorsports | 21.28 | 23.9% | 0.5% | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | SS GreenLight Racing | 21.05 | 22.4% | 0.5% | — | — |
| William Sawalich | Joe Gibbs Racing | 24.53 | 38.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| Mason Maggio | DGM Racing x JIM | 22.66 | 21.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| Austin Green | Peterson Racing Group | 21.1 | 11.6% | 0.0% | — | — |
| David Starr | Joey Gase Motorsports | 26.91 | 32.9% | 0.0% | — | — |
50,000 simulations · data as of 2026-10-19 07:55 UTC