Indianapolis Motor Speedway

Xfinity Series · Intermediate (1.5 mile)

Edge vs book implied%: ≥ +5% +2–5% flat -2–5% ≤ -5%

Driver	Team	Fin	DNF%	Win%	DK	Edge	Top5%	DK	Edge	Top10%	DK	Edge
Kyle Larson	JR Motorsports	7.24	7.9%	24.2%	— —	—	59.9%	— —	—	80.5%	— —	—
Connor Zilisch	JR Motorsports	8.23	5.9%	11.8%	— —	—	45.8%	— —	—	74.6%	— —	—
Brent Crews	Joe Gibbs Racing	11.32	17.6%	10.3%	— —	—	41.5%	— —	—	64.9%	— —	—
Justin Allgaier	JR Motorsports	11.81	13.5%	9.8%	— —	—	36.8%	— —	—	63.0%	— —	—
Brandon Jones	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.48	12.6%	7.4%	— —	—	26.3%	— —	—	49.0%	— —	—
Austin Hill	Richard Childress Racing	14.02	5.8%	5.8%	— —	—	26.6%	— —	—	48.8%	— —	—
Carson Kvapil	JR Motorsports	14.56	8.8%	5.0%	— —	—	22.0%	— —	—	43.7%	— —	—
Sheldon Creed	Haas Factory Team	14.9	14.2%	4.8%	— —	—	26.3%	— —	—	47.1%	— —	—
Jesse Love	Richard Childress Racing	12.1	6.4%	3.8%	— —	—	27.3%	— —	—	55.4%	— —	—
Sammy Smith	JR Motorsports	15.22	6.6%	3.3%	— —	—	19.5%	— —	—	40.5%	— —	—
Ross Chastain	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	12.02	10.5%	2.5%	— —	—	34.0%	— —	—	57.9%	— —	—
Taylor Gray	Joe Gibbs Racing	15.68	17.6%	2.3%	— —	—	17.0%	— —	—	41.1%	— —	—
Sam Mayer	Haas Factory Team	15.97	21.1%	2.2%	— —	—	22.6%	— —	—	46.6%	— —	—
Ryan Sieg	RSS Racing	17.61	12.1%	1.9%	— —	—	14.0%	— —	—	32.6%	— —	—
Jeremy Clements	Jeremy Clements Racing	20.51	11.4%	1.0%	— —	—	7.9%	— —	—	19.7%	— —	—
William Sawalich	Joe Gibbs Racing	16.96	14.0%	0.9%	— —	—	13.2%	— —	—	32.5%	— —	—
Nicholas Sanchez	AM Racing	18.43	14.0%	0.9%	— —	—	11.0%	— —	—	27.9%	— —	—
Parker Retzlaff	Viking Motorsports	18.94	19.0%	0.6%	— —	—	9.2%	— —	—	25.3%	— —	—
Dean Thompson	Sam Hunt Racing	18.0	12.3%	0.4%	— —	—	7.6%	— —	—	24.9%	— —	—
Corey Day	Hendrick Motorsports	17.62	14.9%	0.2%	— —	—	7.9%	— —	—	29.8%	— —	—
Harrison Burton	Sam Hunt Racing	19.69	14.3%	0.2%	— —	—	4.9%	— —	—	18.5%	— —	—
Brennan Poole	Alpha Prime Racing	21.07	11.4%	0.1%	— —	—	3.0%	— —	—	12.2%	— —	—
Kyle Sieg	RSS Racing	22.64	15.3%	0.1%	— —	—	2.7%	— —	—	10.4%	— —	—
Ryan Ellis	Young's Motorsports	23.84	17.4%	0.1%	— —	—	2.1%	— —	—	8.8%	— —	—
Josh Williams	DGM Racing x JIM	24.12	23.9%	0.1%	— —	—	2.4%	— —	—	10.3%	— —	—
Josh Bilicki	SS GreenLight Racing	24.01	10.1%	0.1%	— —	—	2.9%	— —	—	9.5%	— —	—
Myatt Snider	Barrett Cope Racing	27.12	21.9%	0.1%	— —	—	0.6%	— —	—	2.0%	— —	—
Jeb Burton	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	21.98	13.6%	0.0%	— —	—	0.4%	— —	—	6.8%	— —	—
Patrick Staropoli	Big Machine Racing	24.34	6.8%	0.0%	— —	—	0.4%	— —	—	1.1%	— —	—
Rajah Caruth	JR Motorsports	24.82	10.2%	0.0%	— —	—	0.6%	— —	—	3.3%	— —	—
Andrew Patterson	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	25.76	10.9%	0.0%	— —	—	0.1%	— —	—	0.2%	— —	—
Blaine Perkins	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	25.16	12.3%	0.0%	— —	—	0.4%	— —	—	0.9%	— —	—
Austin Green	Peterson Racing Group	24.83	19.6%	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—	1.7%	— —	—
Alex Labbe	SS GreenLight Racing	25.61	21.5%	0.0%	— —	—	0.5%	— —	—	2.4%	— —	—
Lavar Scott	Alpha Prime Racing	26.54	19.7%	0.0%	— —	—	0.4%	— —	—	1.0%	— —	—
Mason Maggio	DGM Racing x JIM	27.25	25.9%	0.0%	— —	—	0.7%	— —	—	3.0%	— —	—
Nathan Byrd	Young's Motorsports	27.23	22.9%	0.0%	— —	—	0.3%	— —	—	0.8%	— —	—
JJ Yeley	Young's Motorsports	29.38	34.7%	0.0%	— —	—	0.6%	— —	—	1.1%	— —	—

50,000 simulations · data as of 2026-07-19 02:30 UTC