2026 Trucks Chase
Chase standings and per-race outlook · 4 of 7 races complete
as of 2026-10-19 04:45 UTC
Chase standings (after 4 races)
| # | Driver | Team | Seed | Earned | Chase Pts | Back | Champ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaden Honeycutt | TRICON Garage | 2 | 248 | 2323 | — | 79.2% |
| 2 | Layne Riggs | Front Row Motorsports | 1 | 184 | 2284 | -39 | 20.7% |
| 3 | Christian Eckes | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | 4 | 151 | 2211 | -112 | 0.1% |
| 4 | Chandler Smith | Front Row Motorsports | 3 | 141 | 2206 | -117 | 0.03% |
| 5 | Ty Majeski | ThorSport Racing | 6 | 138 | 2188 | -135 | <0.01% |
| 6 | Daniel Hemric | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | 7 | 135 | 2180 | -143 | <0.01% |
| 7 | Giovanni Ruggiero | TRICON Garage | 5 | 117 | 2172 | -151 | <0.01% |
| 8 | Ben Rhodes | ThorSport Racing | 9 | 100 | 2135 | -188 | <0.01% |
| 9 | Grant Enfinger | CR7 Motorsports | 8 | 94 | 2134 | -189 | <0.01% |
| 10 | Tyler Ankrum | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | 10 | 92 | 2122 | -201 | <0.01% |
Chase Pts = the seeding reset plus points scored in Chase races. Actual, not projected. Champ% is the season Monte Carlo's championship probability; the race-by-race standings below it are expected points and ignore variance.
Projected champion:
Kaden Honeycutt
TRICON Garage
79.2% to win it
2419 pts
Championship futures edge (DK implied vs model, top 10 by |edge|)
| Driver | Model % | DK odds | Implied % | Fair % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ Kaden Honeycutt | 79.2% | -200 | 66.7% | 52.2% | +27.0% |
| ↑ Layne Riggs | 20.7% | +175 | 36.4% | 28.5% | -7.8% |
| ↑ Christian Eckes | 0.1% | +1500 | 6.2% | 4.9% | -4.8% |
| ↑ Chandler Smith | 0.0% | +2000 | 4.8% | 3.8% | -3.8% |
| ↑ Ty Majeski | 0.0% | +3000 | 3.2% | 2.5% | -2.5% |
| ↑ Daniel Hemric | 0.0% | +3500 | 2.8% | 2.2% | -2.2% |
| ↑ Giovanni Ruggiero | 0.0% | +4000 | 2.4% | 1.9% | -1.9% |
| ↑ Ben Rhodes | 0.0% | +5000 | 2.0% | 1.6% | -1.6% |
| ↑ Grant Enfinger | 0.0% | +5000 | 2.0% | 1.6% | -1.6% |
| ↑ Tyler Ankrum | 0.0% | +8000 | 1.2% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
Model: season projection 2026-10-19 · Market: DK Truck Series futures. Implied % is the raw book probability (includes overround); Fair % rescales it to sum to 100% across the compared set. Edge = model − fair implied; positive = the model rates the driver higher than the de-vigged market.
Chase seeding (10 drivers, locked)
| Seed | Driver | Team | Seed Pts | Final Reg Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Layne Riggs | Front Row Motorsports | 2100 | 777 |
| 2 | Kaden Honeycutt | TRICON Garage | 2075 | 674 |
| 3 | Chandler Smith | Front Row Motorsports | 2065 | 654 |
| 4 | Christian Eckes | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | 2060 | 527 |
| 5 | Giovanni Ruggiero | TRICON Garage | 2055 | 519 |
| 6 | Ty Majeski | ThorSport Racing | 2050 | 449 |
| 7 | Daniel Hemric | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | 2045 | 433 |
| 8 | Grant Enfinger | CR7 Motorsports | 2040 | 429 |
| 9 | Ben Rhodes | ThorSport Racing | 2035 | 427 |
| 10 | Tyler Ankrum | McAnally Hilgemann Racing | 2030 | 384 |
R19 UNOH 250 presented by Ohio Logistics · Bristol Motor Speedway final Jake Garcia
Result
| 0 | Justin S Carroll | 0 pts |
| 1 | Jake Garcia | 69 pts |
| 2 | Bayley Currey | 37 pts |
| 3 | Stewart Friesen | 41 pts |
| 4 | Justin Haley | 34 pts |
Standings after race
| 1 | — | Layne Riggs | 2125 |
| 2 | — | Kaden Honeycutt | 2122 |
| 3 | — | Chandler Smith | 2095 |
| 4 | ▲ | Ty Majeski | 2090 |
| 5 | — | Giovanni Ruggiero | 2086 |
| 6 | ▲ | Daniel Hemric | 2074 |
| 7 | ▲ | Grant Enfinger | 2067 |
| 8 | ▼ | Christian Eckes | 2067 |
| 9 | — | Ben Rhodes | 2064 |
| 10 | — | Tyler Ankrum | 2054 |
R20 Race to Stop Suicide 200 · Kansas Speedway final Kaden Honeycutt
Result
| 1 | Kaden Honeycutt | 75 pts |
| 2 | Christian Eckes | 48 pts |
| 3 | Brent Crews | 0 pts |
| 4 | Daniel Hemric | 41 pts |
| 5 | Ben Rhodes | 35 pts |
Standings after race
| 1 | ▲ | Kaden Honeycutt | 2197 |
| 2 | ▼ | Layne Riggs | 2160 |
| 3 | — | Chandler Smith | 2126 |
| 4 | ▲ | Giovanni Ruggiero | 2125 |
| 5 | ▲ | Christian Eckes | 2115 |
| 6 | — | Daniel Hemric | 2115 |
| 7 | ▼ | Ty Majeski | 2109 |
| 8 | ▲ | Ben Rhodes | 2099 |
| 9 | ▼ | Grant Enfinger | 2074 |
| 10 | — | Tyler Ankrum | 2070 |
R21 Ecosave 200 · Charlotte Motor Speedway final Layne Riggs
Result
| 1 | Layne Riggs | 74 pts |
| 2 | Christian Eckes | 48 pts |
| 3 | Kaden Honeycutt | 54 pts |
| 4 | Bayley Currey | 38 pts |
| 5 | Chandler Smith | 48 pts |
Standings after race
| 1 | — | Kaden Honeycutt | 2251 |
| 2 | — | Layne Riggs | 2234 |
| 3 | — | Chandler Smith | 2174 |
| 4 | ▲ | Christian Eckes | 2163 |
| 5 | ▲ | Daniel Hemric | 2147 |
| 6 | ▼ | Giovanni Ruggiero | 2136 |
| 7 | — | Ty Majeski | 2135 |
| 8 | — | Ben Rhodes | 2115 |
| 9 | — | Grant Enfinger | 2106 |
| 10 | — | Tyler Ankrum | 2098 |
R22 Zero Carbon Bioethanol 150 Powered by POET · Phoenix Raceway final Kaden Honeycutt
Result
| 1 | Kaden Honeycutt | 72 pts |
| 2 | Christian Eckes | 48 pts |
| 3 | Layne Riggs | 50 pts |
| 4 | Ty Majeski | 53 pts |
| 5 | Jake Garcia | 39 pts |
Standings after race
| 1 | — | Kaden Honeycutt | 2323 |
| 2 | — | Layne Riggs | 2284 |
| 3 | ▲ | Christian Eckes | 2211 |
| 4 | ▼ | Chandler Smith | 2206 |
| 5 | ▲ | Ty Majeski | 2188 |
| 6 | ▼ | Daniel Hemric | 2180 |
| 7 | ▼ | Giovanni Ruggiero | 2172 |
| 8 | — | Ben Rhodes | 2135 |
| 9 | — | Grant Enfinger | 2134 |
| 10 | — | Tyler Ankrum | 2122 |
R23 Love's RV Stop 225 · Talladega Superspeedway next Giovanni Ruggiero
Win probability
| Giovanni Ruggiero | 11.6% |
| Chandler Smith | 9.2% |
| Ben Rhodes | 8.2% |
| Ty Majeski | 7.9% |
| Christian Eckes | 7.2% |
Standings after race
(projected)
| 1 | — | Kaden Honeycutt | 2352 |
| 2 | — | Layne Riggs | 2312 |
| 3 | — | Christian Eckes | 2241 |
| 4 | — | Chandler Smith | 2237 |
| 5 | — | Ty Majeski | 2219 |
| 6 | ▲ | Giovanni Ruggiero | 2208 |
| 7 | ▼ | Daniel Hemric | 2204 |
| 8 | — | Ben Rhodes | 2164 |
| 9 | — | Grant Enfinger | 2162 |
| 10 | — | Tyler Ankrum | 2150 |
R24 Black's Tire 200 presented by Down East Heating & Air Conditioning · Martinsville Speedway Layne Riggs
Win probability
| Layne Riggs | 16.1% |
| Christian Eckes | 11.9% |
| Tristan McKee | 11.2% |
| Chandler Smith | 9.7% |
| Ty Majeski | 9.4% |
Standings after race
(projected)
| 1 | — | Kaden Honeycutt | 2383 |
| 2 | — | Layne Riggs | 2352 |
| 3 | — | Christian Eckes | 2276 |
| 4 | — | Chandler Smith | 2274 |
| 5 | — | Ty Majeski | 2255 |
| 6 | — | Giovanni Ruggiero | 2238 |
| 7 | — | Daniel Hemric | 2236 |
| 8 | — | Ben Rhodes | 2195 |
| 9 | — | Grant Enfinger | 2189 |
| 10 | — | Tyler Ankrum | 2181 |
R25 NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Championship Race · Homestead-Miami Speedway Layne Riggs
Win probability
| Layne Riggs | 16.8% |
| Christian Eckes | 9.8% |
| Kaden Honeycutt | 9.0% |
| Daniel Hemric | 8.1% |
| Grant Enfinger | 7.6% |
Standings after race
(projected)
| 1 | — | Kaden Honeycutt | 2419 |
| 2 | — | Layne Riggs | 2388 |
| 3 | — | Christian Eckes | 2310 |
| 4 | — | Chandler Smith | 2307 |
| 5 | — | Ty Majeski | 2286 |
| 6 | ▲ | Daniel Hemric | 2270 |
| 7 | ▼ | Giovanni Ruggiero | 2262 |
| 8 | — | Ben Rhodes | 2224 |
| 9 | — | Grant Enfinger | 2222 |
| 10 | — | Tyler Ankrum | 2210 |
200,000 season scenarios · 2,000 sims/race · 4 races scored from actual results · Completed Chase races carry actual results and actual points. Remaining races use expected (mean) Chase points per race; that ranking is an approximation that ignores variance. Full probabilistic championship odds are on the Standings page.