2026 Cup Standings

Chase qualification & championship probabilities

as of 2026-06-03

Cutline (16th): Ryan Preece 327 pts 14 races done · 12 regular season left

Chase qual %: In (≥95%) Bubble (10–95%) Out (<10%)

#	Driver	Team	Pts	Proj W	Proj Pts	Chase%	Champ%	DK	Impl%	Edge
1	Tyler Reddick	23XI Racing	657	5.8	965	100.0%	27.9%	+300	25.0%	+2.9%
2	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	559	2.8	870	100.0%	37.3%	+225	30.8%	+6.5%
3	Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	474	1.8	770	100.0%	8.7%	+650	13.3%	-4.6%
4	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	450	2.6	743	100.0%	3.9%	+1100	8.3%	-4.4%
5	Ty Gibbs	Joe Gibbs Racing	447	1.5	716	100.0%	1.3%	+2200	4.3%	-3.0%
6	Christopher Bell	Joe Gibbs Racing	393	0.8	702	99.8%	10.8%	+850	10.5%	+0.3%
7	Chris Buescher	RFK Racing	393	0.6	682	99.8%	1.7%	+4500	2.2%	-0.5%
8	Kyle Larson	Hendrick Motorsports	401	0.7	687	99.6%	5.1%	+650	13.3%	-8.2%
9	Carson Hocevar	Spire Motorsports	374	1.4	623	94.8%	0.2%	+3000	3.2%	-3.0%
10	Daniel Suarez	Spire Motorsports	374	1.4	616	92.5%	0.3%	+8000	1.2%	-0.9%
11	Chase Briscoe	Joe Gibbs Racing	343	0.5	611	91.2%	0.6%	+1600	5.9%	-5.3%
12	William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	352	0.5	614	90.8%	1.7%	+1600	5.9%	-4.2%
13	Brad Keselowski	RFK Racing	340	0.3	588	83.2%	0.2%	+6000	1.6%	-1.4%
14	Shane Van Gisbergen	Trackhouse Racing	343	1.5	593	83.1%	0.1%	+3500	2.8%	-2.7%
15	Bubba Wallace	23XI Racing	338	0.3	578	74.8%	0.1%	+5000	2.0%	-1.9%
16	Ryan Preece	RFK Racing	327	0.3	568	68.4%	0.1%	+8000	1.2%	-1.1%
17	Joey Logano	Team Penske	287	0.4	543	47.3%	0.1%	+1600	5.9%	-5.8%
18	Austin Cindric	Team Penske	306	0.2	519	27.5%	—	+17000	0.6%	-0.6%
19	Michael McDowell	Spire Motorsports	268	0.3	504	18.7%	—	+10000	1.0%	-1.0%
20	Zane Smith	Front Row Motorsports	272	0.2	479	8.3%	—	+30000	0.3%	-0.3%
21	AJ Allmendinger	Kaulig Racing	266	0.2	472	6.6%	—	+25000	0.4%	-0.4%
22	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	236	0.3	460	4.3%	—	+17000	0.6%	-0.6%
23	Ross Chastain	Trackhouse Racing	239	0.2	456	3.2%	—	+5500	1.8%	-1.8%
24	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	HYAK Motorsports	259	0.2	453	2.8%	—	+20000	0.5%	-0.5%
25	Erik Jones	Legacy Motor Club	270	0.0	469	1.2%	—	+30000	0.3%	-0.3%
26	Todd Gilliland	Front Row Motorsports	237	0.1	431	0.9%	—	+30000	0.3%	-0.3%
27	Kyle Busch	Richard Childress Racing	217	0.2	423	0.7%	—	—	—	—
28	Riley Herbst	23XI Racing	224	0.1	414	0.3%	—	+20000	0.5%	-0.5%
29	Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	159	0.3	388	0.1%	—	+9000	1.1%	-1.1%
30	John Hunter Nemechek	Legacy Motor Club	207	0.0	386	0.0%	—	+30000	0.3%	-0.3%
31	Noah Gragson	Front Row Motorsports	202	0.1	376	0.0%	—	+20000	0.5%	-0.5%
32	Ty Dillon	Kaulig Racing	177	0.1	348	0.0%	—	+30000	0.3%	-0.3%
33	Josh Berry	Wood Brothers Racing	169	0.1	338	0.0%	—	+13000	0.8%	-0.8%
34	Cole Custer	Haas Factory Team	150	0.1	330	0.0%	—	+20000	0.5%	-0.5%
35	Connor Zilisch	Trackhouse Racing	147	0.0	262	0.0%	—	+5500	1.8%	-1.8%
36	Cody Ware	Rick Ware Racing	117	0.0	232	0.0%	—	+20000	0.5%	-0.5%
37	Katherine Legge	Live Fast Motorsports	8	0.0	48	0.0%	—	—	—	—
38	BJ McLeod	Live Fast Motorsports	3	0.0	21	0.0%	—	—	—	—

0 season scenarios · data as of 2026-06-03