2026 Cup Standings

Chase qualification & championship probabilities

as of 2026-04-11

Cutline (16th): Chase Briscoe 131 pts races done · regular season left

Chase qual %: In (≥95%) Bubble (10–95%) Out (<10%)

#	Driver	Team	Pts	Proj	Chase%	Champ%	DK	Impl%	Edge
1	Tyler Reddick	23XI Racing	353	817	100.0%	21.0%	+450	18.2%	+2.8%
2	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	258	720	99.8%	20.4%	+500	16.7%	+3.7%
3	Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	262	725	99.6%	13.5%	+750	11.8%	+1.7%
4	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	239	690	99.6%	5.3%	+700	12.5%	-7.2%
5	William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	238	684	99.2%	8.4%	+750	11.8%	-3.4%
6	Christopher Bell	Joe Gibbs Racing	206	673	98.8%	10.7%	+900	10.0%	+0.7%
7	Chris Buescher	RFK Racing	206	639	97.8%	1.6%	+4500	2.2%	-0.6%
8	Kyle Larson	Hendrick Motorsports	198	655	96.5%	13.2%	+500	16.7%	-3.5%
9	Ty Gibbs	Joe Gibbs Racing	220	620	94.9%	0.9%	+5000	2.0%	-1.1%
10	Brad Keselowski	RFK Racing	199	601	92.0%	1.0%	+5000	2.0%	-1.0%
11	Bubba Wallace	23XI Racing	206	602	90.2%	1.2%	+4000	2.4%	-1.2%
12	Joey Logano	Team Penske	175	584	84.5%	1.4%	+1200	7.7%	-6.3%
13	Ryan Preece	RFK Racing	178	561	77.9%	0.1%	+10000	1.0%	-0.9%
14	Shane Van Gisbergen	Trackhouse Racing	169	533	59.5%	—	+7500	1.3%	-1.3%
15	Ross Chastain	Trackhouse Racing	136	534	59.0%	0.9%	+4000	2.4%	-1.5%
16	Chase Briscoe	Joe Gibbs Racing	131	529	56.1%	0.4%	+1400	6.7%	-6.3%
17	Carson Hocevar	Spire Motorsports	162	509	43.0%	—	+3500	2.8%	-2.8%
18	Austin Cindric	Team Penske	149	501	37.9%	—	+10000	1.0%	-1.0%
19	Daniel Suarez	Spire Motorsports	163	490	31.1%	—	+15000	0.7%	-0.7%
20	Michael McDowell	Spire Motorsports	151	487	29.1%	—	+20000	0.5%	-0.5%
21	AJ Allmendinger	Kaulig Racing	134	450	11.4%	—	+20000	0.5%	-0.5%
22	Kyle Busch	Richard Childress Racing	119	444	11.1%	—	+2800	3.4%	-3.4%
23	Erik Jones	Legacy Motor Club	119	456	10.5%	—	+17000	0.6%	-0.6%
24	Zane Smith	Front Row Motorsports	126	432	6.4%	—	+25000	0.4%	-0.4%
25	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	97	424	5.6%	—	+17000	0.6%	-0.6%
26	Josh Berry	Wood Brothers Racing	107	404	3.1%	—	+7500	1.3%	-1.3%
27	Todd Gilliland	Front Row Motorsports	93	394	1.3%	—	+35000	0.3%	-0.3%
28	John Hunter Nemechek	Legacy Motor Club	103	415	1.2%	—	+25000	0.4%	-0.4%
29	Noah Gragson	Front Row Motorsports	93	384	0.8%	—	+35000	0.3%	-0.3%
30	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	HYAK Motorsports	83	377	0.7%	—	—	—	—
31	Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	22	367	0.7%	—	+10000	1.0%	-1.0%
32	Riley Herbst	23XI Racing	90	370	0.3%	—	+50000	0.2%	-0.2%
33	Ty Dillon	Kaulig Racing	87	359	0.2%	—	+35000	0.3%	-0.3%
34	Cole Custer	Haas Factory Team	67	350	0.1%	—	+50000	0.2%	-0.2%
35	Connor Zilisch	Trackhouse Racing	80	318	0.0%	—	+7000	1.4%	-1.4%
36	Cody Ware	Rick Ware Racing	58	252	0.0%	—	+50000	0.2%	-0.2%
37	BJ McLeod	Live Fast Motorsports	3	32	0.0%	—	—	—	—
38	Casey Mears	Garage 66	6	6	0.0%	—	—	—	—

0 season scenarios · data as of 2026-04-11