2026 Cup Standings

Chase standings & championship probabilities

as of 2026-10-19

Chase field locked: 16 drivers 16th seed Ryan Preece (622 pts) 7 of 10 Chase races run Chase page →

Standings after

Championship trajectory (top 16 drivers, races 1–36 · as of 2026-10-19 03:30 UTC)

Championship probability through the season

Left of “now”: championship % implied by the standings that actually existed after each race. Right: the forward Chase simulation, which tracks the chance of leading the standings after each race — a different measure, so the two sides are drawn apart rather than joined.

Recomputed with today's model, so early-season points carry hindsight; it shows how the title picture moved, not what was published at the time.

Click a race (tap twice on touch) to view standings · click a driver in the legend to isolate their line now: Kyle Larson at 47.1%

colour = manufacturer: Chevrolet Ford Toyota · dash pattern = driver

#	Driver	Team	Chase Pts	W	Reg Pts	Champ%	DK	Fair%	Edge
1	Kyle Larson	Hendrick Motorsports	2370	2	724	47.1%	-135	43.3%	+3.8%
2	Christopher Bell	Joe Gibbs Racing	2365	1	758	24.6%	+550	11.6%	+13.0%
3	Chase Briscoe	Joe Gibbs Racing	2346	3	761	7.6%	+900	7.5%	+0.1%
4	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	2339	4	1027	9.4%	+220	23.5%	-14.1%
5	Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	2330	3	938	8.8%	+1600	4.4%	+4.4%
6	Joey Logano	Team Penske	2326	3	709	1.7%	+2000	3.6%	-1.9%
7	Tyler Reddick	23XI Racing	2314	6	894	0.8%	+3500	2.1%	-1.3%
8	Austin Cindric	Team Penske	2240	0	631	<0.01%	+8000	0.9%	-0.9%
9	Ty Gibbs	Joe Gibbs Racing	2238	2	892	<0.01%	+8000	0.9%	-0.9%
10	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	2221	2	723	<0.01%	+20000	0.4%	-0.4%
11	Carson Hocevar	Spire Motorsports	2212	1	673	<0.01%	+20000	0.4%	-0.4%
12	Bubba Wallace	23XI Racing	2208	0	651	<0.01%	+15000	0.5%	-0.5%
13	Daniel Suarez	Spire Motorsports	2182	1	676	<0.01%	+50000	0.2%	-0.2%
14	William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	2180	0	666	<0.01%	+20000	0.4%	-0.4%
15	Chris Buescher	RFK Racing	2166	0	677	<0.01%	+50000	0.2%	-0.2%
16	Ryan Preece	RFK Racing	2159	1	622	<0.01%	+50000	0.2%	-0.2%
17	Shane Van Gisbergen	Trackhouse Racing	—	2	605	—	—	—	—
18	Brad Keselowski	RFK Racing	—	0	543	—	—	—	—
19	Ross Chastain	Trackhouse Racing	—	0	518	—	—	—	—
20	Michael McDowell	Spire Motorsports	—	0	517	—	—	—	—
21	Erik Jones	Legacy Motor Club	—	0	498	—	—	—	—
22	Josh Berry	Wood Brothers Racing	—	0	414	—	—	—	—
23	Todd Gilliland	Front Row Motorsports	—	0	468	—	—	—	—
24	AJ Allmendinger	Kaulig Racing	—	0	463	—	—	—	—
25	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	—	0	435	—	—	—	—
26	Zane Smith	Front Row Motorsports	—	0	455	—	—	—	—
27	Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	—	0	391	—	—	—	—
28	John Hunter Nemechek	Legacy Motor Club	—	0	418	—	—	—	—
29	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	HYAK Motorsports	—	0	430	—	—	—	—
30	Riley Herbst	23XI Racing	—	0	402	—	—	—	—
31	Noah Gragson	Front Row Motorsports	—	0	346	—	—	—	—
32	Cole Custer	Haas Factory Team	—	0	329	—	—	—	—
33	Connor Zilisch	Trackhouse Racing	—	0	271	—	—	—	—
34	Ty Dillon	Kaulig Racing	—	0	310	—	—	—	—
35	Cody Ware	Rick Ware Racing	—	0	201	—	—	—	—
36	Casey Mears	Beard Motorsports	—	0	13	—	—	—	—
37	Kevin Magnussen	Trackhouse Racing	—	0	11	—	—	—	—
38	Jimmie Johnson	Legacy Motor Club	—	0	9	—	—	—	—
39	Katherine Legge	Live Fast Motorsports	—	0	8	—	—	—	—
40	BJ McLeod	NY Racing Team	—	0	4	—	—	—	—

200000 season scenarios · data as of 2026-10-19 · Chase Pts are actual; Champ% is simulated over the races still to run