2026 O'Reilly Standings
Chase standings & championship probabilities
Championship trajectory (top 12 drivers, races 1–33 · as of 2026-10-19 04:15 UTC)
Championship probability through the season
Left of “now”: championship % implied by the standings that actually existed after each race. Right: the forward Chase simulation, which tracks the chance of leading the standings after each race — a different measure, so the two sides are drawn apart rather than joined.
Recomputed with today's model, so early-season points carry hindsight; it shows how the title picture moved, not what was published at the time.
Click a race (tap twice on touch) to view standings · click a driver in the legend to isolate their line now: Jesse Love at 70.5%
colour = manufacturer:
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· dash pattern = driver
| # | Driver | Team | Pts | Champ% |
|---|
| # | Driver | Team | Chase Pts | W | Reg Pts | Champ% | DK | Fair% | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesse Love | Richard Childress Racing | 2367 | 2 | 769 | 70.5% | +260 | 20.9% | +49.6% |
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | JR Motorsports | 2331 | 6 | 1090 | 17.0% | +275 | 20.1% | -3.1% |
| 3 | Corey Day | Hendrick Motorsports | 2328 | 4 | 735 | 8.9% | +300 | 18.8% | -9.9% |
| 4 | Sheldon Creed | Haas Factory Team | 2308 | 3 | 814 | 3.2% | +250 | 21.5% | -18.3% |
| 5 | Carson Kvapil | JR Motorsports | 2288 | 2 | 861 | 0.3% | +700 | 9.4% | -9.1% |
| 6 | Sam Mayer | Haas Factory Team | 2281 | 0 | 633 | 0.1% | +1400 | 5.0% | -4.9% |
| 7 | Sammy Smith | JR Motorsports | 2230 | 0 | 699 | <0.01% | +8000 | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 8 | Taylor Gray | Joe Gibbs Racing | 2226 | 1 | 609 | <0.01% | +7000 | 1.1% | -1.1% |
| 9 | Austin Hill | Richard Childress Racing | 2224 | 2 | 761 | <0.01% | +8000 | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 10 | Parker Retzlaff | Viking Motorsports | 2194 | 0 | 666 | <0.01% | +15000 | 0.5% | -0.5% |
| 11 | Brandon Jones | Joe Gibbs Racing | 2184 | 1 | 754 | <0.01% | +15000 | 0.5% | -0.5% |
| 12 | Rajah Caruth | JR Motorsports | 2154 | 0 | 606 | <0.01% | +25000 | 0.3% | -0.3% |
| 13 | Brent Crews | Joe Gibbs Racing | — | 0 | 600 | — | — | — | — |
| 14 | William Sawalich | Joe Gibbs Racing | — | 1 | 601 | — | — | — | — |
| 15 | Ryan Sieg | RSS Racing | — | 1 | 569 | — | — | — | — |
| 16 | Anthony Alfredo | Alpha Prime Racing | — | 0 | 513 | — | — | — | — |
| 17 | Dean Thompson | Sam Hunt Racing | — | 0 | 428 | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Brennan Poole | Alpha Prime Racing | — | 0 | 451 | — | — | — | — |
| 19 | Jeremy Clements | Jeremy Clements Racing | — | 0 | 384 | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Harrison Burton | Sam Hunt Racing | — | 0 | 400 | — | — | — | — |
| 21 | Jeb Burton | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | — | 0 | 382 | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Blaine Perkins | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | — | 0 | 357 | — | — | — | — |
| 23 | Patrick Staropoli | Big Machine Racing | — | 0 | 332 | — | — | — | — |
| 24 | Kyle Sieg | RSS Racing | — | 0 | 286 | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Josh Bilicki | SS GreenLight Racing | — | 0 | 288 | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Lavar Scott | Alpha Prime Racing | — | 0 | 274 | — | — | — | — |
| 27 | Ryan Ellis | Young's Motorsports | — | 0 | 255 | — | — | — | — |
| 28 | Austin Green | Peterson Racing Group | — | 0 | 262 | — | — | — | — |
| 29 | Nicholas Sanchez | AM Racing | — | 0 | 207 | — | — | — | — |
| 30 | Garrett Smithley | SS GreenLight Racing | — | 0 | 188 | — | — | — | — |
| 31 | Joey Gase | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 161 | — | — | — | — |
| 32 | Josh Williams | DGM Racing x JIM | — | 0 | 155 | — | — | — | — |
| 33 | Mason Maggio | DGM Racing x JIM | — | 0 | 123 | — | — | — | — |
| 34 | Andrew Patterson | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | — | 0 | 72 | — | — | — | — |
| 35 | Alex Labbe | SS GreenLight Racing | — | 0 | 93 | — | — | — | — |
| 36 | JJ Yeley | Young's Motorsports | — | 0 | 81 | — | — | — | — |
| 37 | Nathan Byrd | Young's Motorsports | — | 0 | 79 | — | — | — | — |
| 38 | Myatt Snider | Barrett Cope Racing | — | 0 | 49 | — | — | — | — |
| 39 | Preston Pardus | Pardus Racing Inc | — | 0 | 52 | — | — | — | — |
| 40 | Jake Finch | JR Motorsports | — | 0 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 41 | Dawson Cram | Mike Harmon Racing | — | 0 | 52 | — | — | — | — |
| 42 | Jordan Anderson | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | — | 0 | 43 | — | — | — | — |
| 43 | Brad Perez | Young's Motorsports | — | 0 | 36 | — | — | — | — |
| 44 | Carson Brown | Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport | — | 0 | 22 | — | — | — | — |
| 45 | Lee Pulliam | JR Motorsports | — | 0 | 32 | — | — | — | — |
| 46 | Carson Ware | Barrett Cope Racing | — | 0 | 43 | — | — | — | — |
| 47 | Will Rodgers | Young's Motorsports | — | 0 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
| 48 | Logan Bearden | Young's Motorsports | — | 0 | 19 | — | — | — | — |
| 49 | David Starr | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 33 | — | — | — | — |
| 50 | Blake Lothian | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 30 | — | — | — | — |
| 51 | Glen Reen | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 29 | — | — | — | — |
| 52 | Luke Fenhaus | Hettinger Racing | — | 0 | 31 | — | — | — | — |
| 53 | Matt DiBenedetto | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 54 | Jesse Iwuji | DGM Racing x JIM | — | 0 | 12 | — | — | — | — |
| 55 | Alex Guenette | DGM Racing x JIM | — | 0 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 56 | Gray Gaulding | Mike Harmon Racing | — | 0 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 57 | Tyler Tomassi | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 58 | Austin J Hill | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 59 | Natalie Decker | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 8 | — | — | — | — |
| 60 | Andy Jankowiak | RSS Racing | — | 0 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 61 | CJ McLaughlin | Young's Motorsports | — | 0 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 62 | Dexter Bean | DGM Racing x JIM | — | 0 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 63 | Cleetus McFarland | Richard Childress Racing | — | 0 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 64 | Caesar Bacarella | Alpha Prime Racing | — | 0 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
| 65 | Derek White | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 66 | Baltazar Leguizamón | Barrett Cope Racing | — | 0 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 67 | Kyle Kelley | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 68 | Sage Karam | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 69 | Matt Wilson | Joey Gase Motorsports | — | 0 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
200000 season scenarios · data as of 2026-10-19 · Chase Pts are actual; Champ% is simulated over the races still to run