Pocono Raceway

Xfinity Series · Intermediate (1.5 mile)

Edge vs book implied%: ≥ +5% +2–5% flat -2–5% ≤ -5%

Driver	Team	Fin	DNF%	Win%	DK	Edge	Top5%	DK	Edge	Top10%	DK	Edge
Kyle Larson	JR Motorsports	6.71	7.9%	21.5%	— —	—	64.7%	— —	—	84.7%	— —	—
Justin Allgaier	JR Motorsports	12.09	7.8%	11.7%	— —	—	33.3%	— —	—	56.2%	— —	—
Connor Zilisch	JR Motorsports	8.62	6.4%	9.2%	— —	—	44.7%	— —	—	74.7%	— —	—
Austin Hill	Richard Childress Racing	13.67	12.0%	7.2%	— —	—	29.1%	— —	—	50.4%	— —	—
Jesse Love	Richard Childress Racing	12.29	5.3%	7.0%	— —	—	31.0%	— —	—	53.5%	— —	—
Brandon Jones	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.86	10.9%	5.8%	— —	—	23.6%	— —	—	44.3%	— —	—
Sam Mayer	Haas Factory Team	14.21	11.9%	4.5%	— —	—	24.1%	— —	—	47.1%	— —	—
Corey Day	Hendrick Motorsports	10.27	6.9%	3.8%	— —	—	32.5%	— —	—	65.3%	— —	—
Ryan Sieg	RSS Racing	16.8	15.0%	3.4%	— —	—	18.7%	— —	—	37.4%	— —	—
Ross Chastain	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	11.39	10.1%	3.3%	— —	—	34.1%	— —	—	64.5%	— —	—
Sammy Smith	JR Motorsports	15.48	7.4%	3.3%	— —	—	19.8%	— —	—	39.8%	— —	—
Taylor Gray	Joe Gibbs Racing	17.15	12.1%	3.3%	— —	—	15.3%	— —	—	34.2%	— —	—
Sheldon Creed	Haas Factory Team	17.1	16.5%	3.0%	— —	—	17.8%	— —	—	36.6%	— —	—
William Sawalich	Joe Gibbs Racing	14.73	12.3%	2.0%	— —	—	17.6%	— —	—	43.1%	— —	—
Brent Crews	Joe Gibbs Racing	18.15	19.8%	1.9%	— —	—	13.9%	— —	—	33.7%	— —	—
Carson Kvapil	JR Motorsports	13.7	10.7%	1.5%	— —	—	18.1%	— —	—	47.0%	— —	—
Nicholas Sanchez	AM Racing	19.21	18.9%	1.4%	— —	—	10.7%	— —	—	27.5%	— —	—
Brennan Poole	Alpha Prime Racing	21.28	14.0%	1.0%	— —	—	7.6%	— —	—	19.9%	— —	—
Jeremy Clements	Jeremy Clements Racing	21.91	17.6%	0.9%	— —	—	7.1%	— —	—	18.7%	— —	—
Kyle Sieg	RSS Racing	21.94	15.8%	0.9%	— —	—	6.6%	— —	—	17.9%	— —	—
Dean Thompson	Sam Hunt Racing	17.93	12.3%	0.8%	— —	—	8.4%	— —	—	27.1%	— —	—
Parker Retzlaff	Viking Motorsports	21.69	24.8%	0.8%	— —	—	7.5%	— —	—	21.0%	— —	—
Josh Williams	DGM Racing x JIM	23.06	23.9%	0.5%	— —	—	4.9%	— —	—	15.6%	— —	—
Ryan Ellis	Young's Motorsports	25.5	30.6%	0.5%	— —	—	3.9%	— —	—	11.5%	— —	—
Harrison Burton	Sam Hunt Racing	20.19	15.2%	0.4%	— —	—	4.5%	— —	—	18.2%	— —	—
Josh Bilicki	SS GreenLight Racing	26.79	31.0%	0.2%	— —	—	0.7%	— —	—	4.7%	— —	—
Jeb Burton	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	21.92	10.8%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	3.0%	— —	—
Patrick Staropoli	Big Machine Racing	23.12	9.2%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.8%	— —	—
Andrew Patterson	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	24.23	10.1%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.1%	— —	—
Rajah Caruth	JR Motorsports	24.31	13.4%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.1%	— —	—
Blaine Perkins	Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport	24.5	12.3%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.2%	— —	—
Lavar Scott	Alpha Prime Racing	25.09	19.7%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.2%	— —	—
Austin Green	Peterson Racing Group	25.7	30.1%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.7%	— —	—
JJ Yeley	Young's Motorsports	27.5	29.4%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—
Nathan Byrd	Young's Motorsports	26.22	23.4%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.1%	— —	—
Blake Lothian	Joey Gase Motorsports	27.2	30.0%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.1%	— —	—
Myatt Snider	Barrett Cope Racing	27.0	30.6%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.1%	— —	—
Alex Labbe	SS GreenLight Racing	27.45	36.7%	0.0%	— —	—	0.0%	— —	—	0.1%	— —	—

50,000 simulations · data as of 2026-06-03 02:30 UTC